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'This book should be required reading in any senior - or graduate-level course on development economics, management of technology, S&T policy analysis and development, and related subjects. It will be of interest to policy analysts and developers, financial analysts, and others concerned with national, regional, local and global systems of innovation. Perez provides a fresh analysis of technological, financial and social booms and busts in an engaging and refreshing way. The book weaves a compelling new fabric of observation and theory, and shows that something can be done to learn from, anticipate, and deal constructively with, the tribulations of inter-linked technological, economic and social change. It does so concisely and in an idiom that bridges abstract economic theory with tangible human history and experience. If it is brought to their attention - as it should be - this compact book will give hope to those scholars, students and policy analysts who wonder what really happened in the cybertechnolgy/internet
gold-rush prior to 2001 and what could possibly lie ahead.'
- Morley Lipsett, Science and Public Policy
'Carlota Perez s thoughtful book. . . does an excellent job of showing the interplay between innovation and capital markets. Her theory is based on Schumpeterian economics - change is more important than equilibrium - and substantial empirical data. Her frame work, if accurate, has direct implications for our economy today.'
- Michael J. Mauboussin, The Consilient Observer
'It was Carlota Perez in the early 1980s, who designated the major changes in technology systems, such as mechanization, electrification or computerization, as ''changes of techno-economic paradigm'' a designation which has since been widely adopted. In this book she offers many new insights into these complex processes of social, economic and technological change. She traces the interactions between that part of the economy commonly known as ''financial capital'' and the evolution of technologies. Although this was an important aspect of Schumpeter's original work, it has been neglected by his followers, so that the book fills an important gap in the literature on business cycles and innovations. I most strongly commend it to all those attempting to understand the past and future evolution of technology and the economy.'
- Christopher Freeman, SPRU - Science and Technology Policy Research, University of Sussex, UK and Maastricht University, The Netherlands
'Before I read this book I thought that the history of technology was - to borrow Churchill's phrase - merely ''one damned thing after another''. Not so. Carlota Perez shows us that historically technological revolutions arrive with remarkable regularity, and that economies react to them in predictable phases. Her argument provides much needed perspective not just on history, but on our own times. And especially on our own information revolution.'
- W. Brian Arthur, Santa Fe Institute, New Mexico
Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital presents a novel interpretation of the good and bad times in the economy, taking a long-term perspective and linking technology and finance in an original and convincing way.
By analyzing the changing relationship between finance capital and production capital during the emergence, diffusion and assimilation of new technologies throughout the global economic system, this seminal book sheds new light on some of the most pressing economic problems of today.
A bold interpretation of how the changing relationship between technological advances and financial capital shapes the patterns of economic cycles, this path-breaking book will provide essential insights for business leaders, policymakers, academics and others concerned with managing change in the world economy.
- Sales Rank: #1120465 in Books
- Published on: 2002-10-31
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 6.50" h x 9.50" w x 1.00" l, 10500.00 pounds
- Binding: Hardcover
- 224 pages
Review
It [this book] is one of the most interesting histories of technology, if not the most informative, because it dwells on the dynamics of the technology/social/economic systems itself. . . Most tomes with theoretical goals like this are horribly dry, dense, wordy, and well. . .boring. This book is not. Perez writes with vigor, and grace, not taking an extra unneeded word, and not repeating herself. . . like a great many other seminal books, it is easily read by anyone truly interesting in how technology works. --Kevin Kelly, Wired Magazine
Carlota Perez's insightful analysis of the rapid growth and diffusion of new technologies in general, and Information and Communications Technologies (ICT) in particular, is a welcome antidote to the bullish and ahistorical hyperbole of the datacom era. . . Do read the book. It is important. It is accessible. It is well presented. It is also fun. --Raphie Kaplinsky, Technovation
Perez focuses on well-defined issues, for instance the emergence of new technologies, how they bring about an infectious frenzy, how they reshape the channels through which flows investment capital . . . There are many enlightening findings in this book . . . I heartily subscribe to the assessment made by Chris Freeman, the author of the preface, that this is indeed a ''thought-provoking and stimulating book which should be widely read.'' --Bertrand M. Roehner, EH.Net
From the Inside Flap
‘. . . Dr Perez has also provided a road map to relevance both for scholars and investors who, having survive the Great Bubble of 1999–2000, must needs concern themselves with what happens next.’ – William Janeway, Vice Chairman, Warburg Pincus, US and Founder, Cambridge [University] Endowment for Research in Finance, UK
‘It was Carlota Perez in the early 1980s, who designated the major changes in technology systems, such as mechanization, electrification or computerization, as "changes of techno-economic paradigm" a designation which has since been widely adopted. In this book she offers many new insights into these complex processes of social, economic and technological change. She traces the interactions between that part of the economy commonly known as "financial capital" and the evolution of technologies. Although this was an important aspect of Schumpeter’s original work, it has been neglected by his followers, so that the book fills an important gap in the literature on business cycles and innovations. I most strongly commend it to all those attempting to understand the past and future evolution of technology and the economy.’ – Christopher Freeman, SPRU – Science and Technology Policy Research, University of Sussex, UK and Maastricht University, The Netherlands
‘Before I read this book I thought that the history of technology was – to borrow Churchill’s phrase – merely "one damned thing after another". Not so. Carlota Perez shows us that historically technological revolutions arrive with remarkable regularity, and that economies react to them in predictable phases. Her argument provides much needed perspective not just on history, but on our own times. And especially on our own information revolution.’ – W. Brian Arthur, Santa Fe Institute, New Mexico
‘This is a smashing book. It informs us that the emphasis on finance that marked the excesses of the 1990s has historically occurred with each great wave of new technologies, only to later shift the focus back to production. Fascinating. May the shift happen again soon.’ – Richard R. Nelson, Columbia University, US
About the Author
Carlota Perez, Honorary Research Fellow, SPRU – Science and Technology Policy Research, University of Sussex, UK, Adjunct Senior Research Fellow, INTECH/UNU, Maastricht, The Netherlands, Visiting Scholar 2002, Cambridge University, UK and International Consultant and Lecturer on Change Strategies and Technology Policy, Eureka A.C., Caracas, Venezuela
Most helpful customer reviews
2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Bubbles are NORMAL!
By Scott A. Prost-domasky
That should be the title of this book! The author separates then documents the evolution, development, and finally, expiration of several technology bubbles, starting with the use of steam to power large mills in England in the late 1700s. Next came railroads, then steel, then mass production, and finally integrated circuits. Several subcycles can be identified in EACH major technology cycle--new technology (expensive but not widespread and largely self funded), the finance people see there is money to be made so start investing, they overinvest, a bubble bursts, financial carnage and major shifts in job and consumer markets occur, technology becomes cheaper as it becomes more widespread, finance people start to see successively smaller margins (profits that is) from that technology. A new technology is just starting to be developed, but the finance people don't see it and won't invest. Finally profits from the previous technology are all taken, the finance people wake up and see the potential to make profits from the new technology, the cycle repeats.
30 of 30 people found the following review helpful.
This Book is Simply a Modern Classic -- It's a Must Read
By Mark Stahlman
This book is a must-read. As someone who has been involved with computer/networking technology for over 30 years and high-tech finance for more than 20, I'm confident that there is nothing that surpasses this work in capturing the times in which we live. This book is simply a modern classic.
With this book in hand you will find yourself saying, "How could anyone have missed the Internet 'crash' of 2000?" Of course it had to happen. Then you will be asking yourself, "When will we get past the frenzied hype about these technologies so we can finally make all this really useful?" Just as Perez has been asking.
Throughout the 1980's and 1990's as a Wall Street analyst following technology companies, I regularly polled economists about the impact of computers and networks. At first there was no response. Later, we all began to hear about the "New Economy" and how everything had completely changed in economics. Yes, this was a pretty transparent attempt to rationalize stock valuations that had gone into orbit. In many ways it was even worse than no response at all.
It wasn't until I read Technological Revolutions and began to look into why mainstream economists have had so little to say about technology, that I learned there was a fight over all this in the 1930/40s. Many were involved but Harvard's Joseph Schumpeter who authored Business Cycles in 1938 putting technology at center stage- was among the losers. Future generations of economists rarely delved into Schumpeter's heterodoxy. Fortunately, Perez revives the Schumpeterian tradition with a powerful reinterpretation and combines economics and technology with a clear and convincing voice.
History is a pattern, not an endless repeating cycle but a distinct and discernable pattern. Perez has given us the outlines of that pattern, making all our jobs a great deal easier. Whether you're in the technology business or in finance or policy or just trying to make intelligent choices in a complicated world, you will benefit and learn from this book. What comes next is going to be important, on many levels, and understanding that in the past others successfully faced similar challenges - not just once but with each technological revolution -- should help to give us courage to face our own.
5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
Technology and pulsating growth
By Nathan Edmonson
Dr. Perez makes the very solid points that technology revolutions impart a pulsating character to economic growth. A technology revolution forms the basis for an "investment frenzy." When this has run its course, the economy faces a number of unpleasant possibilities, including serious recession, depression, and stagflation. The presence or absence of a technology-inspired investment boom is a crucial determinant of what result will follow from a given policy action. However, the state of technology is almost always ignored by policymakers. This may be a case wherein the lack of an easy way to deal with a problem leads to ignoring it.
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